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Thursday, November 12, 2009

theNFLguy makes Week 10 Picks

theNFLguy picked 8 out of 13 games correctly last week, including his upset pick. He is now 92-37 on the season.

Now on to the Week 10 Picks!

theNFLguy picks:

San Francisco to win at home vs. Chicago
Miami to win at home vs. Tampa Bay
Minnesota to win at home vs. Detroit
NY Jets to win at home vs. Jacksonville
Pittsburgh to win at home vs. Cincinnati
New Orleans to win at St. Louis
Tennessee to win at home vs. Buffalo
Denver to win at Washington
Arizona to win at home vs. Seattle
Dallas to win at Green Bay
Baltimore to win at Cleveland


theNFLguy picks 4 upsets this week:

Carolina to win at home vs. Atlanta
Kansas City to win at Oakland
Philadelphia to win at San Diego
New England to win at Indianapolis

WEEK 10 VIKINGS Vs. LIONS


LAST WEEK

Last week was a bye for the Vikings and boy did they deserve it.

One week earlier, they appeared in one of the most anticipated

regular season games in recent NFL history. Brett Favre returned

to Green Bay where he played for 16 years, but this time he was

wearing the uniform of the Packers’ arch rival, the Minnesota

Vikings. Everyone wondered how Favre would respond in such an

emotional and hostile environment. Brett did not disappoint. He

played perfectly. And by perfectly, I mean he threw four

touchdowns and no interceptions. He is playing as good as ever

and has now become a legitimate number one option for fantasy

quarterbacks.

The more important question though is … how did I perform in this

all important match up? Take a look below in a piece I like to

call Projections versus Reality:


The Game: My projection: Vikings 34, Packers 31
Outcome
: Vikings 38, Packers 26

Adrian Peterson: My projection: 100 yards rushing, 40 yards receiving and 1TD.
Outcome
: 97 yards rushing, 44 yards receiving and 1TD.

Brett Favre: My projection: 300 yards and 3 TDs.
Outcome: 244 yards passing, 4 TDs.

Percy Harvin: My projection: 75 combined yards and 1TD
Outcome: 86 yards combined yards and 1TD

Bernard Berrian: My projection: Bernard Berrian is done. The hamstring injury resurfacing is a bad sign for the rest of the season.
Outcome: 47 yards and 1TD

Sidney Rice: Projection : 120 Yards and 1 TD
Outcome: 40 yards

Visanthe Shiancoe: My projection: 25 yards and 1TD
Outcome: 12 yards and 1TD

Chester Taylor: My projection: 20 combined yards.
Outcome: 27 combined yards

Vikings Defense: My projection: Would NOT be a Top 10 fantasy defense.
Outcome: #16 Fantasy Defense for Week 8


THIS WEEK
The Vikings may be the best team in the league, and the Lions may

be the worst. Vikings players should have a field day from a

fantasy perspective. The only potential downside is this game

could turn ugly fast. It that’s the case, the Vikings may be

playing backups in the 4th quarter and protecting a lead. That

being said, I’m not worried. I’m bullish about Vikings’ players

going wild against Detroit. I predict the Vikings win 41-20.


RUMORS
There is a rumor that some players think Tarvaris Jackson should

be the quarterback and that he gives the Vikings the best chance

to win this season, not Brett Favre. Adam Schefter is reporting

that there is a schism in the locker room. Oh sorry, that was the

preseason. Oh my, how things have changed! No rumors, schisms or

controversies to report this week. When you’re 8-1, everybody is

happy.


INJURIES
Favre is probable with a groin injury. He hurt it prior to the

Green Bay game. It seemed to actually improve his play. He should

try and reinjure his groin in practice this week. The results

were phenomenal against the Packers! Bernard Berrian is probable

with a hamstring injury. The same injury he had prior to Green

Bay game where he scored a touchdown. He should try and maintain

that injury. Is there a trend here or am I reaching? I’ll update

Vikings injury status before kickoff via Twitter.


POSITION ANALYSIS

QUARTERBACK
Brett Favre is playing as good as ever. If this was college

football and Favre was in the running for the Heisman, then this

would one of those weeks where he throws for eight touchdowns.

However, it’s the NFL and Coach Childress won’t take any

unnecessary risks. The Vikings should get an early lead and then

pound the Detroit defense with the running game.

My Projection: 230 yards, 3 TDs


RUNNING BACKS
It’s the Detroit Lions in Minnesota! If you own Adrian Peterson

you should have a big grin on your face all week. Look for

Chester Taylor to get a lot of work in the 4th quarter, as the

Vikings run out the clock with a big lead.

My Projection: Peterson 140 combined yard, 2 TDs; Taylor 60

combined yards



WIDE RECEIVERS
Every time I write off Bernard Berrian he responds with a

good game. However, he is no longer the number one receiver. That

title belongs to Sidney Rice. And although Berrian will

probably start, Percy Harvin is the second most productive

receiver on this team. The only problem with Vikings receivers

is that there are not enough balls to go around. Not only does

Favre have three solid options at wide receiver, but he also has

a great tight end and two running backs that can catch out of the

back field. This means that any of these guys can be hit or miss

in any given week. That being said, here is what I predict:

My Projection: Rice 90 yards, 1 TD, Harvin 60 combined yards

and 1TD, Berrian 50 yards



TIGHT ENDS
Visanthe Shiancoe is a great guy to have for scoring-only

leagues, but he doesn’t do much in terms of yards. Last week he

only had 12 yards on one catch. But he still managed to walk away

with a touchdown. He has 6 TDs in 8 games! So why not project

another one. My Projection: 20yards and 1TD


KICKER
If you have Ryan Longwell, you should start him every week. The

Vikings score a lot, and he’s very good. He’s also a kicker so

there’s not much else to say here.

DEFENSE
If the Lions were a movie, they would be “The Men Who Stare at

Goats”. Horrendous, or so I’ve heard. The Vikings Defense has

underperformed this year; however this is a dream matchup. They

will rank as one of the Top 5 for fantasy defenses for Week 10.



I always feel refreshed after a bye week and so should the

Vikings. Players have had time to heal and coaches have had an

extra week to study game film and prepare for one of the worst

teams in the league. This game is not a must-see like two weeks

ago in Green Bay. That is unless you play fantasy football and

you have Vikings’ players on your team. If that’s the case, you

don’t want to miss this. This may be the best game of the

week…for your fantasy team.
Wider Two Column Modification courtesy of The Blogger Guide