theNFLguy picked 8 out of 13 games correctly last week, including his upset pick. He is now 92-37 on the season.
Now on to the Week 10 Picks!
theNFLguy picks:
San Francisco to win at home vs. Chicago
Miami to win at home vs. Tampa Bay
Minnesota to win at home vs. Detroit
NY Jets to win at home vs. Jacksonville
Pittsburgh to win at home vs. Cincinnati
New Orleans to win at St. Louis
Tennessee to win at home vs. Buffalo
Denver to win at Washington
Arizona to win at home vs. Seattle
Dallas to win at Green Bay
Baltimore to win at Cleveland
theNFLguy picks 4 upsets this week:
Carolina to win at home vs. Atlanta
Kansas City to win at Oakland
Philadelphia to win at San Diego
New England to win at Indianapolis
Thursday, November 12, 2009
WEEK 10 VIKINGS Vs. LIONS
LAST WEEK
Last week was a bye for the Vikings and boy did they deserve it.
One week earlier, they appeared in one of the most anticipated
regular season games in recent NFL history. Brett Favre returned
to Green Bay where he played for 16 years, but this time he was
wearing the uniform of the Packers’ arch rival, the Minnesota
Vikings. Everyone wondered how Favre would respond in such an
emotional and hostile environment. Brett did not disappoint. He
played perfectly. And by perfectly, I mean he threw four
touchdowns and no interceptions. He is playing as good as ever
and has now become a legitimate number one option for fantasy
quarterbacks.
The more important question though is … how did I perform in this
all important match up? Take a look below in a piece I like to
call Projections versus Reality:
The Game: My projection: Vikings 34, Packers 31
Outcome: Vikings 38, Packers 26
Adrian Peterson: My projection: 100 yards rushing, 40 yards receiving and 1TD.
Outcome: 97 yards rushing, 44 yards receiving and 1TD.
Brett Favre: My projection: 300 yards and 3 TDs.
Outcome: 244 yards passing, 4 TDs.
Percy Harvin: My projection: 75 combined yards and 1TD
Outcome: 86 yards combined yards and 1TD
Bernard Berrian: My projection: Bernard Berrian is done. The hamstring injury resurfacing is a bad sign for the rest of the season.
Outcome: 47 yards and 1TD
Sidney Rice: Projection : 120 Yards and 1 TD
Outcome: 40 yards
Visanthe Shiancoe: My projection: 25 yards and 1TD
Outcome: 12 yards and 1TD
Chester Taylor: My projection: 20 combined yards.
Outcome: 27 combined yards
Vikings Defense: My projection: Would NOT be a Top 10 fantasy defense.
Outcome: #16 Fantasy Defense for Week 8
THIS WEEK
The Vikings may be the best team in the league, and the Lions may
be the worst. Vikings players should have a field day from a
fantasy perspective. The only potential downside is this game
could turn ugly fast. It that’s the case, the Vikings may be
playing backups in the 4th quarter and protecting a lead. That
being said, I’m not worried. I’m bullish about Vikings’ players
going wild against Detroit. I predict the Vikings win 41-20.
RUMORS
There is a rumor that some players think Tarvaris Jackson should
be the quarterback and that he gives the Vikings the best chance
to win this season, not Brett Favre. Adam Schefter is reporting
that there is a schism in the locker room. Oh sorry, that was the
preseason. Oh my, how things have changed! No rumors, schisms or
controversies to report this week. When you’re 8-1, everybody is
happy.
INJURIES
Favre is probable with a groin injury. He hurt it prior to the
Green Bay game. It seemed to actually improve his play. He should
try and reinjure his groin in practice this week. The results
were phenomenal against the Packers! Bernard Berrian is probable
with a hamstring injury. The same injury he had prior to Green
Bay game where he scored a touchdown. He should try and maintain
that injury. Is there a trend here or am I reaching? I’ll update
Vikings injury status before kickoff via Twitter.
POSITION ANALYSIS
QUARTERBACK
Brett Favre is playing as good as ever. If this was college
football and Favre was in the running for the Heisman, then this
would one of those weeks where he throws for eight touchdowns.
However, it’s the NFL and Coach Childress won’t take any
unnecessary risks. The Vikings should get an early lead and then
pound the Detroit defense with the running game.
My Projection: 230 yards, 3 TDs
RUNNING BACKS
It’s the Detroit Lions in Minnesota! If you own Adrian Peterson
you should have a big grin on your face all week. Look for
Chester Taylor to get a lot of work in the 4th quarter, as the
Vikings run out the clock with a big lead.
My Projection: Peterson 140 combined yard, 2 TDs; Taylor 60
combined yards
WIDE RECEIVERS
Every time I write off Bernard Berrian he responds with a
good game. However, he is no longer the number one receiver. That
title belongs to Sidney Rice. And although Berrian will
probably start, Percy Harvin is the second most productive
receiver on this team. The only problem with Vikings receivers
is that there are not enough balls to go around. Not only does
Favre have three solid options at wide receiver, but he also has
a great tight end and two running backs that can catch out of the
back field. This means that any of these guys can be hit or miss
in any given week. That being said, here is what I predict:
My Projection: Rice 90 yards, 1 TD, Harvin 60 combined yards
and 1TD, Berrian 50 yards
TIGHT ENDS
Visanthe Shiancoe is a great guy to have for scoring-only
leagues, but he doesn’t do much in terms of yards. Last week he
only had 12 yards on one catch. But he still managed to walk away
with a touchdown. He has 6 TDs in 8 games! So why not project
another one. My Projection: 20yards and 1TD
KICKER
If you have Ryan Longwell, you should start him every week. The
Vikings score a lot, and he’s very good. He’s also a kicker so
there’s not much else to say here.
DEFENSE
If the Lions were a movie, they would be “The Men Who Stare at
Goats”. Horrendous, or so I’ve heard. The Vikings Defense has
underperformed this year; however this is a dream matchup. They
will rank as one of the Top 5 for fantasy defenses for Week 10.
I always feel refreshed after a bye week and so should the
Vikings. Players have had time to heal and coaches have had an
extra week to study game film and prepare for one of the worst
teams in the league. This game is not a must-see like two weeks
ago in Green Bay. That is unless you play fantasy football and
you have Vikings’ players on your team. If that’s the case, you
don’t want to miss this. This may be the best game of the
week…for your fantasy team.
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